CHAIRMAN REED E. HUNDT FEDERAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION "RIGHT TIME, RIGHT PLACE" NETWORKED ECONOMY CONFERENCE Washington, DC September 12, 1995 Thank you, Dennis, for that kind introduction. I see a room filled with accomplishment and fame, and I know that each of you has often been asked, what is the secret of your success. One answer people often give is, "I was in the right place at the right time". This is more humble than you need to be, but I know you know it sounds good on Larry King. And it's true. Being in the right place at the right time is a key determinant of success in life. Some people say that my sitting next to Al Gore in 9th grade English and Bill Clinton in Admiralty class in law school are examples of being in the right place at the right time. I am sure I was selected for my job for other reasons than these coincidences. Such as the fact that I have the same birthday as Alexander Graham Bell. Now that's a logical reason to be selected chairman of the FCC. But I admit being at the right place at the right time is a key determinant of success. If this technique had really worked for me it would have happened in the summer of 1972. I had a summer job in the Seattle area working at a law firm. At that very time and in that very place there was formed a company called Traf-O-Data. Its function was to monitor traffic flow by using computers: building an information highway literally on top of the real highway. There I was, wandering around Seattle. I was at the right place at the right time. But I didn't seize the moment. I didn't call Traf-O-Data and volunteer to do law work for them for nothing for a decade if I could have a carried interest in whatever they did in the future. It would have been the smart play. The founders of Traf-O-Data were the sixteen-year-old Bill Gates and his buddy Paul Allen. The company's name was later changed, of course, to Microsoft. So there I was at the right place at the right time and I flubbed it. And the maddening, tantalizing fact is that at this very moment all of you, with your farflung ventures, deep research and gimlet acumen, are smack dab in the middle of the communications revolution. You are at the right place at the right time, but who knows which opportunity is Traf-O-Data; which 16-year-old is Bill Gates. Right here in Washington, D.C., this is also the right time and right place to select the correct policies for the communications revolution. I thought I would offer you a deal today. I will tell you about four possibly winning opportunities of today that happen to have come to my attention. And in return you will let me share with you the communications policies that now is the right time and America is the right place to adopt. I have just three criteria of selection. None of these technologies depends on playing traditional FCC games in order to succeed; so our decisions are not material to my selection. None of these opportunities has been captured by a major incumbent. And none has yet given birth to a CEO invited to this conference. Don't you just hate the idea that someone not important enough to be invited to this conference might be the next Gates or Andreesen? So here are my four winning opportunities: LMDS, the NII band, Millimeter Waves, and DTV. I see a guy over in the corner calling his broker on his lapel phone. But with my track record is he going long or short? LMDS stands for Local Multipoint Distribution System. It's a cellular type wireless service that digitally can provide hundreds of tv channels, as well as high speed interactive data or two-way voice and video. The NII band would be a high-speed, unlicensed wireless band for local-area voice, video and data at about 5 GHz. Right now it is occupied by government uses. But if we can convert it to private uses, this spectrum could be used for low-power, communications networks, one for each school, or each hospital or each neighborhood. Millimeter-wave technologies are up at 40 GHz. This spectrum has always been considered beyond the beyond and is not currently occupied. The computer industry tells us that it can be targeted for high throughput, short-distance applications such as interoffice LANs. In DTV, or digital television, radical new developments in technology over the past 3 years have created a tremendous new, flexible, capability: 20 megabits per second with which you can broadcast a beautiful, crystal-clear widescreen high definition picture or 4 or 5 simultaneous channels. Burst transmissions of whole software packages. One whole multimedia CD-ROM in 4 minutes. A newspaper delivered in mere seconds. Yesterday's newspapers carried announcements of two new patents that make DTV an ideal way of distributing voice, video and data over the air to portable computers. And I haven't even mentioned the Internet, only because you all know already that the Internet is spreading faster than kudzu. As Vint Cerf said, "the Internet has gone from near- invisibility to near-ubiquity in little more than a year." Since 1988, the size of the Net and its traffic are both doubling yearly. The Internet changes virtually all assumptions about communication. Billing is for the most part indifferent to time and distance. And within only a couple of years there is a likelihood that Internet telephony, Internet radio and Internet television will all be starting to take off. For all these possibilities you are all at the right place and right time. But you've got to pick or build the next Traf-O-Data on your own. Being at the right place at the right time also applies to politics and policies. This is the right time and place in communications policy to back ten winners I've got for you. The first five are general axioms about which I propose we agree. The second five are specific reforms the FCC should adopt. In Letterman style, I'm going to leave my favorite for last. No. 10. Just as the printing press made the Reformation inevitable, so the combination of cheap communications and PCs -- let's call it the networked society -- will reshape all private and public institutions. All countries should accept this change at more or less the same time, even though it so threatens the status quo. This is the core of the American mission to convert the G-7 and all the UN nations to the principles of the Buenos Aires Declaration expressed by VP Gore in his famous speech a year and a half ago; No. 9. At least outside this room, the curse of the modern age is that people do not feel that they are in charge of their lives. But computer networks have the capability to provide each human what the brilliant Yale computer scientist David Gelernter calls "topsight.' By this he means the ability to manage the astounding complexities of the modern world. Providing this "topsight" is crucial to solving the crisis of alienation in the 21st century. No. 8. In this country the mass media threaten the viability of representative democracy for one specific reason: the desperate imperative for politicians to buy advertising time to run for office. The nearly impossible task of doing TV politics has greatly reduced the effectiveness of local, state, and federal government. For democracy to survive and thrive worldwide, the power of modern communication must be used to enhance participation and reasoned debate, not frustrate it. No. 7. We need to admit that in modern economies, modern communications does confront us with the real, chronic, and challenging problem of job elimination. The communications revolution destroys jobs. And it creates jobs. And it creates a better standard of living. But we can't deny that if we are to have a peaceful world those caught in the transition to the information age must be helped, not discarded. No. 6. The communications revolution will permanently alter the powers and performance of government at all levels, from the county sheriff to the United Nations. That is why there couldn't be a course of conduct more shortsighted right now than a repudiation of positive government. Instead we should remember that government, when it is smart and responsive, is the way we act together to improve our common lot. And here are my top five reforms; actions I would like the FCC take in the next year. To do these things we need to make sure the FCC is not killed or crippled. The Senate Appropriations subcommittee vote to cut our budget by more than one-third of what I requested. This would cripple the agency just when all the businesses in the U.S. need us the most as the writer of fair rules and the adjudicator of disputes. Don't let this happen. Here's the top 5 things the FCC should do: No. 5. The FCC should reform the access charge and universal service schemes in this country. Neither can survive competition. Each needs total overhaul. In particular we need a tight focus for universal service and the elimination of all subsidies that don't serve an important national goal. Similarly, we should continue the dozen steps we have taken in the last year to treat basic cable more as a universal service, lowering its price in return for having the price of enhanced basic go up. No. 4. We should move to spectrum auctions and flexible use of the spectrum as the twin paradigms for domestic use of the airwaves. No. 3. We should continue to deregulate the business dimension of commercial broadcasting, such as by eliminating rules like fin/syn and PTAR. At the same time we should, at last, after 61 years, explain the public interest dimension of the communications revolution in terms of unmistakable, specific, concrete real duties imposed on industries in the sector. In 1973, FCC Chairman Dean Burch told a broadcast industry group: "If I were to pose the question, what are the public interest guidelines that are the basis of the FCC's renewal policies, everyone in the room would be on equal footing. You couldn't tell me. I couldn't tell you -- and no one else at the Commission could do any better. Twenty-two years later, it's time to end the era of incoherence. It's in this connection that we should have a specific number of hours of children's educational television required of all TV licensees, so that they know clearly what is expected in return for their free licenses to use the airwaves. No. 2. On the international front, we should continue to press for harmonious rules of competition in all countries. Our reform of foreign ownership rules will make effective market access a key determinant of whether we allow foreign ownership of our communications properties. It is a conscious attempt to use a lever to create fair open markets. No. 1. Communications must revolutionize education in America. We spend $200 billion a year on educating 45 million kids without getting a decent return on our investment. The return should be this: these kids are supposed to keep the American Dream alive. But as of now: Sixty percent of the new jobs in the year 2000 will require skills possessed by only 22 percent of the young people entering the labor market. Workers' lack of information literacy now cost business an estimated $25 billion annually in poor product quality, low productivity and accident. We need classrooms in which every child and every teacher uses a networked computer to learn, to communicate, to develop. I have seen networked classrooms, and they work. I've been to test schools in Washington. D.C.; Harlem, New York; Silicon Valley; Osaka, Japan; Dallas, Texas. Networks engage children. Attendance goes up, test scores go up, failure rates go down. What a surprise: the productivity gains achieved by the private sectors because of modern communications are entirely possible in the education sector. A market for educational technology will allow businesses to make money bringing classrooms into the information age. Companies like TCI, Time Warner, Apple, AT&T and others have great ideas on the drawing board. But as of now only 1.4 percent of educational spending is dedicated to technology. And our kids are getting further and further behind. We need government action as a catalyst to create a functioning market for communication technology in education. Public-private partnerships should work to build model schools. The government should be a clearinghouse of new ideas learned in these models. The government also must jumpstart the building of the infrastructure -- by lowering the cost -- and therefore the risk -- to schools of investing. The Senate telecommunications reform bill contains provisions that would give schools a discount in purchasing telecommunications services -- to be reimbursed by all telecommunications users. This provision must be included in the final version of the legislation. Ross Perot said when he was running for President that there were ideas lying around in the street in Washington; you just had to pick the right one, open the hood, stick it in, and start the car. That's a paraphrase. But there was some truth to what he said. This is the right time and right place to pick up and install the best ideas for communications policies in this country and around the world. The idea of a networked economy is untested in history. If, for all its glories, it displaces workers, alienates citizens, widens educational gaps, it will ultimately fail. So now is also the right time and the right place to lay the foundation for a networked society in which the public interest as well as private interests can prosper, and all can have the opportunity to be winners. -FCC-